Moldevs
Lillestrom
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 4/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Molde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lillestrom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.0 against 52.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
12.7%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40