GGOALVIO

Molde logoMoldevsLillestrom logoLillestrom

COMPLETED

Norway · Eliteserien · 4/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Molde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lillestrom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.0 against 52.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Molde

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

12.7%

Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MoldeLWWDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LillestromLWDLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MoldeLillestrom
60.4Attack45.8
50.0Defence58.3
50.0Form52.1
54.0Power52.6
1.63xG1.26
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