Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Molde 2-0 KFUM Oslo
Original prediction
Molde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 71.2% | 70.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.46 | 17.1% | 16.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 7.94 | 11.7% | 12.9% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MoldeWWLDW
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KFUM OsloLDWWL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MoldeKFUM Oslo
66.7Attack37.0
46.3Defence42.6
55.6Form35.2
57.1Power40.7
2.60xG1.05