Moldevs
IF elfsborg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/22/2024, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Molde are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IF elfsborg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF elfsborg
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
IF elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60