Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Molde are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ham-Kam are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60