GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/8/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Molde are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cercle Brugge are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cercle Brugge hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Molde

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MoldeLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cercle BruggeLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MoldeCercle Brugge
66.7Attack25.0
33.3Defence66.7
38.9Form58.3
45.5Power53.0
1.58xG1.34
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