EliteserienEliteserien
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:00
Molde

Molde

Home
L
12
Full time
Brann

Brann

Away
L
Aker Stadion
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Molde(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Molde
44%
Draw
26%
Brann
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Molde
34
Brann
34
Defence
Molde
27
Brann
27
Momentum
Molde
0
Brann
0
Danger (xG)
Molde
0.90
Brann
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Molde)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Brann)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Molde)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Brann)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MoldeMolde
DLLW
BrannBrann
WLWWL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Molde44%
Draw26%
Brann31%

Molde leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Molde head into this in Eliteserien fixture at Aker Stadion in mixed form (L), while Brann arrive in mixed form (L). Molde have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Brann over 1 games.

The model rates Molde's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Brann defence, and Brann's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Molde backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Molde have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Brann have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Molde have generated 1.92 xG per game recently while conceding 0.47 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Brann have generated 1.21 xG per game recently while conceding 1.22 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Molde and Brann in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Molde to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Molde 4372%, Draw 2578%, Brann 3050%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Molde

Molde

D
@ Aalesund
11 Jul 2026
22
xG 1.9
L
@ Rosenborg
5 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Bodo/Glimt
28 Jun 2026
14
W
vs Kristiansund BK
16 May 2026
10
Brann

Brann

W
vs Start
12 Jul 2026
21
xG 1.9
L
vs Kristiansund BK
3 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Aarhus Fremad
26 Jun 2026
10
W
vs KFUM Oslo
16 May 2026
21
L
@ Bologna
26 Feb 2026
01
xG 0.5

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Molde vs Brann?

GoalVio's model predicts Molde to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Molde vs Brann?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Molde vs Brann?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Molde vs Brann?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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