Bodo/Glimt leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Molde head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Bodo/Glimt arrive in decent form (WW). Molde have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Bodo/Glimt over 2 games.

Tactically, Bodo/Glimt hold the edge. Their decent attack (54/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Molde defence (27/100), while Molde's attack faces a watertight Bodo/Glimt backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Molde have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Bodo/Glimt have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Molde have generated 1.92 xG per game recently while conceding 0.47 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.02 xG per game recently while conceding 0.87 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.

Bodo/Glimt have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Bodo/Glimt to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Molde 2960%, Draw 2720%, Bodo/Glimt 4320%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Recent form

Molde

D

@ Aalesund

11 Jul 2026

2–2

xG 1.9

L

@ Rosenborg

5 Jul 2026

1–2

L

vs Bodo/Glimt

28 Jun 2026

1–4

W

vs Kristiansund BK

16 May 2026

1–0

Bodo/Glimt

W

vs Fredrikstad

17 Jul 2026

1–0

xG 2.4

W

@ KFUM Oslo

12 Jul 2026

2–0

xG 1.7

W

@ Molde

28 Jun 2026

4–1

D

@ Rosenborg

29 May 2026

2–2

xG 2.0

W

vs Tromso

16 May 2026

5–0

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