Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Molde are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while BK Hacken are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00