MoldevsBayer Leverkusen

Molde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.