Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Molde are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aalesund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60