Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
Molde U19 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Moss U19 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde U19 hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.6% in the Nasjonal U19 Champions League, while Molde U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde U19
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
6.6%
Molde U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 12 · avg 3.40/2.40
GF 12 · GA 22 · avg 2.40/4.40