Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Molde II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.80 conceded, while NTNUI are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde II hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Molde II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde II
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
7.2%
Molde II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 19 · avg 2.60/3.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60