Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
Molde II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Nardo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde II hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Molde II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 94% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde II
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Molde II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 22 · avg 2.60/4.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40