Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 3-4 (6%), 2-5 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Molde II 1-0 Melhus
Original prediction
Melhus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 36.9% | 26.7% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.3% | 16.7% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 41.9% | 56.6% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.3–46%
- 3.2–56%
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Molde IIDWLWW
GF 17 · GA 12 · avg 3.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MelhusLWLLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Molde IIMelhus
94.7Attack84.2
0.0Defence56.1
45.6Form61.4
46.5Power66.1
2.72xG4.50