Molde IIvs
Aalesund II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (7%), 4-2 (6%), 5-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Molde II 3-2 Aalesund II
Original prediction
Molde II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.8% | 55.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.1% | 17.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.1% | 27.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–37%
- 2.4–26%
- 3.5–36%
Predicted outcome
Molde II
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Molde II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 15 · avg 3.20/3.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80