Mold Alexandravs
Llanuwchllyn
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mold Alexandra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mold Alexandra 2-2 Llanuwchllyn
Original prediction
Mold Alexandra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.8% | 71.5% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.0% | 15.6% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.2% | 12.8% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Mold Alexandra
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Mold Alexandra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80