Mold Alexandravs
Bangor City 1876 FC
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mold Alexandra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bangor 1876 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bangor 1876 hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring a draw with 9.6% confidence, a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
23.9%
Model confidence
9.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40