GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Mold Alexandra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bangor 1876 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bangor 1876 hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring a draw with 9.6% confidence, a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.9%

Model confidence

9.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mold AlexandraLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Bangor 1876WLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mold AlexandraBangor 1876
66.7Attack50.0
16.7Defence50.0
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power53.0
1.82xG1.85
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