Mokpo Cityvs
Yeoju Sejong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeoju Sejong · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mokpo City 0-1 Yeoju Sejong, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mokpo City 1-0 Yeoju Sejong
Original prediction
Yeoju Sejong
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.9% | 22.5% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.4% | 26.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.8% | 50.5% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Projected Score
Mokpo City 0–1 Yeoju Sejong
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Yeoju Sejong
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Yeoju Sejong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80