Mokpo Cityvs
Busan Transportation
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan Transportation · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mokpo City 3-1 Busan Transportation
Original prediction
Busan Transportation
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.7% | 17.3% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.2% | 22.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 43.1% | 60.4% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Busan Transportation
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Busan Transportation has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40