Mokninevs
Ksour Essef
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 2 · 10/27/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ksour Essef · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Moknine 0-0 Ksour Essef, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Moknine 1-2 Ksour Essef
Original prediction
Ksour Essef
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 08:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.89 | 23.1% | 28.0% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.0% | 31.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.9% | 40.8% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Projected Score
Moknine 0–0 Ksour Essef
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Ksour Essef
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Ksour Essef has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MoknineLLDLD
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ksour EssefDWWDW
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
MoknineKsour Essef
0.0Attack16.7
41.7Defence100.0
8.3Form66.7
21.2Power64.8
0.68xG1.05