MOIKvs
Mingəçevir
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 10/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MOIK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MOIK 3-0 Mingəçevir
Original prediction
MOIK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.8% | 47.2% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.1% | 26.2% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.1% | 26.7% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
MOIK
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
MOIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MOIKWDLWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MingəçevirLLDLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MOIKMingəçevir
33.3Attack33.3
77.8Defence22.2
44.4Form11.1
53.1Power25.8
1.74xG0.92