Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keshla FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
MOIK are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Keshla FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Keshla FC hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 70.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Birinci Dasta, while Keshla FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Keshla FC
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Keshla FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40