Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MOIK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MOIK 1-1 Şimal
Original prediction
MOIK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.8% | 42.7% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 27.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.2% | 29.9% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
MOIK
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
MOIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MOIKLWLDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ŞimalLWWLD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MOIKŞimal
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.45xG1.17