Mohun Baganvs
Bhawanipore
COMPLETEDIndia · Calcutta Premier Division · 8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mohun Bagan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Bhawanipore are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bhawanipore hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 79.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Calcutta Premier Division, favouring a draw with 14.8% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
14.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20