Mohammedanvs
Police
SCHEDULEDIndia · Calcutta Premier Division · 8/17/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mohammedan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mohammedan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Police are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mohammedan hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while Mohammedan holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mohammedan
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Mohammedan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40