GGOALVIO

India · Calcutta Premier Division · 7/12/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mohammedan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Mohammedan are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Calcutta are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mohammedan hold a 52.5-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 22.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.6% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while Mohammedan holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mohammedan

Probability

88.6%

Model confidence

88.6%

Mohammedan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MohammedanLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 2.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
CalcuttaD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
MohammedanCalcutta
66.7Attack28.1
77.8Defence12.3
77.8Form19.3
75.3Power22.8
3.54xG0.47
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