Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mogren · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mogren 1-2 Grbalj
Original prediction
Mogren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Mogren
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Mogren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MogrenW
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
GrbaljDLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MogrenGrbalj
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
1.59xG0.96