Mogi MirimvsSao Carlos

Mogi Mirim are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sao Carlos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Carlos hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Sao Carlos holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.