GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santacruzense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mogi Mirim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santacruzense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santacruzense hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Santacruzense holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santacruzense

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Santacruzense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mogi MirimWLWLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SantacruzenseWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mogi MirimSantacruzense
50.0Attack52.8
50.0Defence55.6
40.0Form41.7
46.0Power48.8
1.42xG1.46
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