Mogi MirimvsMatonense

Mogi Mirim are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Matonense are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.