GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 4/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independente SP · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Mogi Mirim are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Independente SP are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independente SP

Probability

70.9%

Model confidence

12.5%

Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mogi MirimL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Independente SPWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mogi MirimIndependente SP
50.0Attack88.2
50.0Defence78.4
40.0Form76.5
46.0Power74.1
0.78xG2.36
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