Moghreb Tetouanvs
FUS Rabat
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moghreb Tetouan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 FUS Rabat
Original prediction
Moghreb Tetouan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 26.6% | 38.1% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 31.9% | 30.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.5% | 31.4% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Moghreb Tetouan
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Moghreb Tetouan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20