Modena U19vs
Sampdoria U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sampdoria U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Modena U19 4-4 Sampdoria U19
Original prediction
Sampdoria U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.0% | 36.0% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.9% | 26.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.1% | 37.5% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Sampdoria U19
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Sampdoria U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80