Modena U19vs
Cremonese U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Modena U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Modena U19 0-2 Cremonese U19
Original prediction
Modena U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.7% | 40.6% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.2% | 23.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.1% | 36.1% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Modena U19
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Modena U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60