GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 4/18/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Modbury Jets · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Modbury Jets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Salisbury United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Modbury Jets hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.4% in the South Australia State League 1, while Modbury Jets holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Modbury Jets

Probability

86.4%

Model confidence

86.4%

Modbury Jets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Modbury JetsWDWDW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Salisbury UnitedLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Modbury JetsSalisbury United
69.7Attack40.9
69.7Defence28.8
66.7Form25.8
67.5Power34.3
3.60xG0.63
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