GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/4/2023, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Croydon Kings · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Modbury Jets are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Croydon Kings are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Croydon Kings hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the South Australia NPL, while Croydon Kings holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Croydon Kings

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Croydon Kings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Modbury JetsDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Croydon KingsWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 3.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Modbury JetsCroydon Kings
70.5Attack69.7
21.8Defence37.9
46.2Form45.5
47.1Power51.2
2.87xG3.10
View match centre →