South Australia State League 1South Australia State League 1
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Modbury Jets

Modbury Jets

Home
L
40
Full time
Adelaide Victory

Adelaide Victory

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
59% confidence
Modbury Jets(59%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Modbury Jets
59%
Draw
24%
Adelaide Victory
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Modbury Jets
34
Adelaide Victory
100
Defence
Modbury Jets
6
Adelaide Victory
91
Momentum
Modbury Jets
0
Adelaide Victory
100
Danger (xG)
Modbury Jets
0.90
Adelaide Victory
4.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Modbury Jets)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Adelaide Victory)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Modbury Jets)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Adelaide Victory)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Modbury JetsModbury Jets
LW
Adelaide VictoryAdelaide Victory
W

Probability breakdown

59% confidence
Modbury Jets59%
Draw24%
Adelaide Victory17%

Modbury Jets leads with 59% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Modbury Jets head into this in South Australia State League 1 fixture in mixed form (L), while Adelaide Victory arrive in mixed form (W). Modbury Jets have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Adelaide Victory over 1 games.

Tactically, Adelaide Victory hold the edge. Their elite attack (100/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Modbury Jets defence (6/100), while Modbury Jets's attack faces a watertight Adelaide Victory backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Modbury Jets have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Adelaide Victory have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Modbury Jets and Adelaide Victory in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Modbury Jets to win with 59% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Modbury Jets 5886%, Draw 2435%, Adelaide Victory 1679%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Modbury Jets

Modbury Jets

L
@ Adelaide Blue Eagles
13 Jul 2026
13
W
@ Adelaide Cobras
16 May 2026
10
Adelaide Victory

Adelaide Victory

W
vs Eastern United
16 May 2026
50

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Victory?

GoalVio's model predicts Modbury Jets to win with 59% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Victory?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Victory?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Victory?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more