GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 2/28/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Modbury Jets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Modbury Jets are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Adelaide Raiders are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 70.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the South Australia State League 1, while Modbury Jets holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Modbury Jets

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

11.3%

Modbury Jets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Modbury JetsWWLLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide RaidersLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Modbury JetsAdelaide Raiders
69.7Attack84.8
69.7Defence60.6
66.7Form71.2
67.5Power70.6
1.79xG1.46
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