Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Moca 0-0 Vega Real, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Moca 0-0 Vega Real
Original prediction
Moca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Moca 0–0 Vega Real
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Moca
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Moca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MocaDWLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vega RealWLWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MocaVega Real
35.8Attack27.4
69.1Defence64.3
51.9Form41.7
53.2Power46.9
0.84xG0.45