Mocavs
Universidad O&M
COMPLETEDDominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Moca 0-0 Universidad O&M, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Moca 1-2 Universidad O&M
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.8% | 37.0% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.4% | 33.3% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 23.9% | 29.7% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Projected Score
Moca 0–0 Universidad O&M
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MocaLLDWW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad O&MLLWDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MocaUniversidad O&M
25.9Attack44.4
77.8Defence63.0
48.1Form40.7
53.7Power49.6
0.69xG0.67