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Moca logoMocavsGolden Lion logoGolden Lion

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World · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · 9/27/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Moca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Golden Lion are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Moca hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.2% in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship, while Moca holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moca

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

60.2%

Moca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MocaWLDWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Golden LionWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
MocaGolden Lion
41.7Attack41.7
75.0Defence8.3
66.7Form25.0
62.4Power29.2
1.76xG0.65
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