Mocavs
Delfines Del Este
COMPLETEDDominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Moca 0-0 Delfines Del Este, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Moca 1-1 Delfines Del Este
Original prediction
Moca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 41.8% | 39.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.3% | 31.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
Moca 0–0 Delfines Del Este
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Moca
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Moca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MocaWWWDD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Delfines Del EsteWWDLD
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MocaDelfines Del Este
33.3Attack20.0
83.3Defence93.3
66.7Form66.7
64.8Power63.4
0.90xG0.67