MO ConstantinevsCR Béni Thour

COMPLETED

Algeria · Ligue 2 · 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MO Constantine · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: MO Constantine 0-0 CR Béni Thour, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Final result

MO Constantine 2-1 CR Béni Thour

Original prediction

MO Constantine

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 20:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.44	62.5%	44.8%	-17.7 pts
Draw	3.54	25.4%	30.1%	4.7 pts
Away	7.36	12.2%	25.2%	13.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.7 pts

Projected Score

MO Constantine 0–0 CR Béni Thour

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

MO Constantine

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

MO Constantine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

MO ConstantineDL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2

CR Béni ThourL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1

MO ConstantineCR Béni Thour

50.0Attack33.3

50.0Defence0.0

50.0Form0.0

50.0Power15.3

1.12xG0.71