MO Constantinevs
Azazga
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MO Constantine 0-0 Azazga, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
MO Constantine 1-0 Azazga
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.4% | 35.9% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.1% | 32.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.5% | 32.1% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
MO Constantine 0–0 Azazga
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MO ConstantineDWDDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AzazgaWDWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75
BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
MO ConstantineAzazga
33.3Attack41.7
75.0Defence75.0
50.0Form66.7
56.2Power64.8
0.89xG0.87