Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zug · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Münsingen 1-2 Zug
Original prediction
Zug
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.6% | 33.5% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.1% | 27.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.3% | 39.2% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Zug
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Zug has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MünsingenLLLDL
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ZugLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MünsingenZug
25.9Attack40.7
11.1Defence18.5
7.4Form25.9
19.5Power31.8
1.54xG2.02