Mladost Lucanivs
Radnicki NIS
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mladost Lucani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mladost Lucani 1-0 Radnicki NIS
Original prediction
Mladost Lucani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.5% | 39.3% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.3% | 29.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.3% | 31.1% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Mladost Lucani
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Mladost Lucani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80