GGOALVIO

Serbia · Super Liga · 10/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mladost Lucani · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Mladost Lucani 0-0 OFK Beograd

Original prediction

Mladost Lucani

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7333.2%49.0%15.9 pts
Draw3.1129.2%25.2%-3.9 pts
Away2.4137.6%25.7%-11.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Mladost Lucani

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Mladost Lucani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mladost LucaniWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OFK BeogradLLDLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Mladost LucaniOFK Beograd
33.3Attack43.3
60.0Defence30.0
53.3Form30.0
50.9Power36.6
1.57xG0.91
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