GGOALVIO

Serbia · Super Liga · 8/11/2023, 4:55:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mladost Lucani are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 46.1-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 94.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Super Liga, while FK Crvena Zvezda holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Crvena Zvezda

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mladost LucaniWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaWWWWD

GF 17 · GA 0 · avg 3.40/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
Mladost LucaniFK Crvena Zvezda
11.1Attack100.0
88.9Defence88.9
33.3Form100.0
48.3Power94.4
0.93xG1.42
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