GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 8/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vukovar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mladost Ždralovi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vukovar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and vukovar hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the First NL, favouring Vukovar with 13.9% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vukovar

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

13.9%

Vukovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mladost ŽdraloviDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VukovarLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mladost ŽdraloviVukovar
50.0Attack56.6
50.0Defence63.6
50.0Form58.6
50.0Power60.6
1.02xG1.43
View match centre →